Will National get over 50% of the vote? NO

Will National + ACT + United Future get over 50% of the vote? YES - JUST.
(note: they may be able to get over 50% of the seats without needing 50% of the popular vote)

Will the Maori party be the king maker? NO

Will Labour + Green be greater then that of National? NO

Will Green get over 10%? NO

Will Labour get over 35%? NO

Will National get over 45%? YES - JUST

Will the Gap between the parties be less than 15%? YES

Will Ron Mark win Riumataka? NO

Will NZ First get 5%? NO

Will Roger Dogulas be back? YES

Will Labour lose Auckland Central? YES

Will the Maori Party win all 7 Maori Seats? NO

This post will be updated around every 30 minutes.

9pm - First upload of graphs. Features results over past hour since Advance Votes confirmed.

9.30pm - Last half hour has seen the gap closing again. Minor parties are beginning to rise.

10pm - Gap is still closing but probably not fast enough. Most results in now.

10.30pm - 95.8% in. National will be the new government.

11pm - 98.9% in. Didn’t go the way of the left at all. 50.04% went to National + Act + United Future so popular vote is differently for the right. The world may be heading left (Australia, United States) but NZ has gone right.

11.30pm - 99.9% in. HELEN CLARK HAS JUST RESIGNED AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY.

Major Party Percent:

Minor Party Percent:

Seats in the House:

The electoral act prevents any comment on today’s election until after 7pm tonight in any media and that includes blogs. A whole day of no politics. What am I to do?

Will National get over 50% of the vote?

Will National + ACT + United Future get over 50% of the vote?
(note: they may be able to get over 50% of the seats without needing 50% of the popular vote)

Will the Maori party be the king maker?

Will Labour + Green be greater then that of National?

Will Green get over 10%?

Will Labour get over 35%?

Will National get over 45%?

Will the Gap between the parties be less than 15%?

Will Ron Mark win Riumataka?

Will NZ First get 5%?

Will Roger Dogulas be back?

Will Labour lose Auckland Central?

Will the Maori Party win all 7 Maori Seats?

Tomorrow is anything but certain.

This is a summary graph of the political polls over the past three years. Look at the recent end. National is dropping. But so is Labour. Who is rising? The Greens and Act. What does that mean?

a) The minor parties matter!

b) A vote for Act or National will result in a right wing government. A vote for the Greens or Labour will be a left wing Government.

The choice is yours! This election is not all over. It is not a done and dusted result. It is wide open and your vote matters.

Rock the Vote. November 8 2008.

Find out who you are most aligned to: http://pundit.co.nz/content/election-quiz

My Results:

Green Party 71%
New Zealand First 68%
Progressives 66%
Labour 59%
United Future 56%
National 41%
Act 29%

The detailed comparison with the Greens:

Crime and Punishment 0%
Economy and Taxes 100%
Education 50%
Employment 100%
Environment and Energy 88%
Family and Morals 38%
Foreign Policy and Trade 100%
Government and Leadership 88%
Health Care 75%
Race Relations and Immigration 88%
Welfare and Superannuation 75%